Page 14 - Decoding Decisions ~ Making sense of the messy middle
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14    CHAPTER 2      IDENTIFYING THE MESSY MIDDLE









                 A brief history of the evolution of marketing models


                 One of the ways that marketers have tried to describe  (and to some extent prescribe) the
                 paths elephant and rider take towards purchase is to map them in marketing models.

                 To give us some historical context, The Behavioural Architects kicked things off with
                 an extensive investigation of marketing model white papers, starting with Elmo Lewis’
                 famous AIDA, and covering several of the influential models that have emerged over the
                 intervening century and a bit.


                        1. AIDA                                     5. ATR-N
                1898                                         1997
                        Elmo Lewis’ theoretical customer            Ehrenberg’s model emphasises
                        journey from the moment a brand or          the importance of post-purchase
                        product attracts consumer attention         experience and interaction (nudges).
                        to the point of action or purchase.

                                                                    6. First and Second
                        2. The Funnel                       2005    Moments of Truth
                1924    William Townsend’s adaptation               A.G. Lafley builds on Carlzon’s moment
                        of AIDA. Introduced the funnel              of truth, distinguishing between looking
                        concept.                                    at the product and then using it with the
                                                                    first and second moments of truth.
                        3. DAGMAR
                 1961
                        Not intended as a decision-making    2009   7. The McKinsey consumer
                        model, but Russell Colley adds an           decision journey
                        important pre-awareness stage to            McKinsey’s “active evaluation” stage
                        the funnel.                                 updates decision-making to reflect
                                                                    a less linear, active process and
                        4. Moment of Truth                          introduces the “loyalty loop”.
                1986
                        Jan Carlzon’s model, captured in
                        his claim that: “Any time a customer   2011  8. ZMOT
                        comes into contact with a business,         Google extends Carlzon’s and Lafley’s
                        however remote, they have an                moments of truth with the “zero moment
                        opportunity to form an impression”.         of truth” - when you start to learn about a
                                                                    product or service for the first time.

                 The Behavioural Architects eventually proposed the above list as representative of the way
                 thinking in this space has evolved. It isn’t exhaustive – we chose not to include any model that
                 seemed more focused on organisational concerns than consumer perspectives – but what
                 this list does show is a general direction of travel and a tendency towards increasing detail.
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